Influence of demographic changes on the impact of vaccination against varicella and herpes zoster in Germany - a mathematical modelling study.

Horn, Johannes; Damm, Oliver; Greiner, Wolfgang; Hengel, Hartmut; Kretzschmar, Mirjam E; Siedler, Anette; Ultsch, Bernhard; Weidemann, Felix; Wichmann, Ole; Karch, André; Mikolajczyk, Rafael T

dc.contributor.author	Horn, Johannes
dc.contributor.author	Damm, Oliver
dc.contributor.author	Greiner, Wolfgang
dc.contributor.author	Hengel, Hartmut
dc.contributor.author	Kretzschmar, Mirjam E
dc.contributor.author	Siedler, Anette
dc.contributor.author	Ultsch, Bernhard
dc.contributor.author	Weidemann, Felix
dc.contributor.author	Wichmann, Ole
dc.contributor.author	Karch, André
dc.contributor.author	Mikolajczyk, Rafael T
dc.date.accessioned	2018-04-30T11:28:18Z
dc.date.available	2018-04-30T11:28:18Z
dc.date.issued	2018
dc.identifier.citation	Influence of demographic changes on the impact of vaccination against varicella and herpes zoster in Germany - a mathematical modelling study. 2018, 16 (1):3 BMC Med	en
dc.identifier.issn	1741-7015
dc.identifier.pmid	29316913
dc.identifier.doi	10.1186/s12916-017-0983-5
dc.identifier.uri	http://hdl.handle.net/10033/621362
dc.description.abstract	Epidemiological studies suggest that reduced exposure to varicella might lead to an increased risk for herpes zoster (HZ). Reduction of exposure to varicella is a consequence of varicella vaccination but also of demographic changes. We analyzed how the combination of vaccination programs and demographic dynamics will affect the epidemiology of varicella and HZ in Germany over the next 50 years.
dc.language.iso	en	en
dc.rights.uri	http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/	*
dc.subject.mesh	Adolescent	en
dc.subject.mesh	Adult	en
dc.subject.mesh	Aged	en
dc.subject.mesh	Aged, 80 and over	en
dc.subject.mesh	Chickenpox	en
dc.subject.mesh	Chickenpox Vaccine	en
dc.subject.mesh	Child	en
dc.subject.mesh	Demography	en
dc.subject.mesh	Emigration and Immigration	en
dc.subject.mesh	Germany	en
dc.subject.mesh	Herpes Zoster	en
dc.subject.mesh	Herpes Zoster Vaccine	en
dc.subject.mesh	Humans	en
dc.subject.mesh	Immunization Programs	en
dc.subject.mesh	Incidence	en
dc.subject.mesh	Male	en
dc.subject.mesh	Middle Aged	en
dc.subject.mesh	Models, Theoretical	en
dc.subject.mesh	Population Dynamics	en
dc.subject.mesh	Vaccination	en
dc.subject.mesh	Young Adult	en
dc.title	Influence of demographic changes on the impact of vaccination against varicella and herpes zoster in Germany - a mathematical modelling study.	en
dc.type	Article	en
dc.contributor.department	elmholtz-Zentrum für Infektionsforschung GmbH, Inhoffenstr. 7, 38124 Braunschweig, Germany.	en
dc.identifier.journal	BMC medicine	en
refterms.dateFOA	2018-06-13T02:30:07Z
html.description.abstract	Epidemiological studies suggest that reduced exposure to varicella might lead to an increased risk for herpes zoster (HZ). Reduction of exposure to varicella is a consequence of varicella vaccination but also of demographic changes. We analyzed how the combination of vaccination programs and demographic dynamics will affect the epidemiology of varicella and HZ in Germany over the next 50 years.